Predictive factors of preterm delivery in French Guiana for singleton pregnancies: definition and validation of a predictive score

AbstractObjective: Given the high rate of premature birth in French Guiana (13.5%), and its stability in time, the aim of the present study was to define a predictive score for preterm birth in women with a unique pregnancy in order to help prioritize health resources in the local context.Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on all deliveries of unique pregnancies in French Guiana collected between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2014 in the Registre d’Issue de Grossesse Informatise (RIGI), a registry that collects data on live births over 22 weeks of amenorrhea on the territory. Statistically significant predictors (p < .05) of preterm delivery were included in a logistic regression model. The selected variables were chosen to be available during the first trimester. Coefficients were used to establish a score which was categorized and prospectively validated using data from 2015.Results: Seven explanatory variables, all measurable during the first trimester of pregnancy, were significantly associ...