A survey on maternal age and karyotype in Down's syndrome in Japan, 1947–1975

Data on karyotype and maternal age of 1954 cases of Down's syndrome were analyzed to see if the rate of chromosome mutations leading to this abnormality has been enhanced during the last 20 years. Comparison of the data for patients born in 1947–1960 with those in 1961–1975 revealed little change with time in the proportions of cases due to different karyotypes, the overwhelming majority being of 21 trisomy type in both periods. However, there has been a remarkable decline in the mean maternal age from 33.1 years to 29.7 years as well as in the variance from 50.5 to 29.4. While the rate of decline in the variance was almost the same as that for all births occurring in the same periods, the decline in the mean maternal age was much greater for the patients than for all births, suggesting that the rate of nondisjunction might have increased in younger rather than in older mothers. However, when the risk of brearing a child with Down's syndrome for mothers aged 40–44 is taken as unity, no evidence was found for an increase with time in the relative risk for younger mothers. Moreover, results of surveys made in 1960 and thereafter in different parts of Japan indicate that the crude incidence rate of Down's syndrome at birth has been around 0.10%, giving no indication of an upward trend. These findings are discussed with reference to the serious environmental pollution, including possible genetic hazards, with which Japan has been faced since the 1960s.