Remission and relapse in a drug‐resistant epilepsy population followed prospectively

2011 
SUMMARY Purpose: We investigated the cumulative probability of seizure remission and relapse in an adult population with drug-resistant epilepsy and frequent seizures. In addition, we determined clinical predictors of remission and relapse in this population. Methods: In 2003, we identified 246 patients at a single center with drug-resistant epilepsy defined as at least one seizure per month and failure of at least two antiepileptic drugs. These patientswerefollowed prospectively (cohort design). We examined the cumulative probability of seizureremissionandrelapseinthispopulationusingKaplanMeier methodology. Clinical predictors of remission and relapsewerealsoevaluatedusingCoxregressionanalysis. Key Findings: The estimated cumulative probability of 12-month seizure remission was 34.6% at 7 years in the entire population and 33.4% when limited to those without surgery. The risk for relapse after a 12-month period of seizure remission was 71.2% at 5 years. Negative predictors of seizure remission included developmental delay, symptomatic generalized epilepsy syndrome, duration of intractability, and number of antiepileptic drugs failed. Localization-related epilepsy was the only negative predictor of relapse. Significance: Among patients with drug-resistant epilepsy, 5% per year enter seizure remission even with a follow-up of 6 years. However, a substantial proportion of these patients relapse after the first year following a remission. The large proportion of patients entering a significant remission gives these patients hope; however, caution should be advised when discussing the likelihood
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