A nomogram for preoperative prediction of lymphatic infiltration in colorectal cancer: A personalized approach to clinical decision making

Lymphatic infiltration (LI) is a key factor affecting the treatment of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Thus, the aim of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram for individual preoperative prediction of LI in patients with CRC.We conducted a retrospective analysis of 664 patients who received their initial diagnosis of CRC at our center. Those patients were allocated to a training dataset (n = 468) and a validation dataset (n = 196). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used for data dimension reduction and feature selection. The nomogram was constructed from the training dataset and internally verified using the concordance index (C-index), calibration, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).The enhancement computed tomography reported N1/N2 classification, preoperative tumor differentiation, elevated carcinoembryonic antigen, and carbohydrate antigen19-9 level were selected as variables for the prediction nomogram. Encouragingly, the nomogram showed favorable calibration with C-index 0.757 in the training cohort and 0.725 in validation cohort. The DCA signified that the nomogram was clinically useful. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that patients with LI had a worse prognosis and could benefit from postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.Use common clinicopathologic factors, a non-invasive scale for individualized preoperative forecasting of LI was established conveniently. LI prediction has great significance for risk stratification of prognosis and treatment of resectable CRC.