Simple Probabilistic Method for Risk Analysis of Different Measures against COVID-19 Per Title

The primary signs of COVID-19 emerged on 19th February 2020 while its losses quickly soared and turned to a societal panic. The trend of epidemic and fatality reported by the authorities between 19th February and 15 March was mathematically assessed here and employed to anticipate the aftermaths in the upcoming days. The results of three scenarios against this hazard were compared in terms of the numbers of patients, deaths, and end time.