Effects of "Blue Box" Policy Reform on Overall Trade-Distorting Support in China

With the utilization of technical simulation method of "hypothetical reduction scenarios",this paper simulates the effects of "blue box" policy reform on the overall trade-distorting support(OTDS)in China,and compares with other major members including USA,EU,Japan,Canada and Brazil.The results show that domestic agricultural support of China will not be affected in a strong way by "blue box" policy reform.USA and EU have higher sensitivity to the blue box policy reform under different scenarios,which may further impact China's agricultural production and trade in a complicated way.