MAX-CUSUM CHART FOR AUTOCORRELATED PROCESSES

2005 
A Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) control chart capable of detecting changes in both the mean and the standard deviation for autocorrelated data, referred to as the Max-CUSUM chart for Autocorrelated Process chart (MCAP chart), is pro- posed. This chart is based on tting a time series model to the data, and then calculating the residuals. The observations are represented as a rst-order autore- gressive process plus a random error term. The Average Run Lengths (ARL's) for xed decision intervals and reference values, (h; k) are calculated. The proposed chart is compared with the combined Shewhart-EWMA chart for autocorrelated data proposed by Lu and Reynolds (1999). Comparisons are based on the out-of- control ARL's. The MCAP chart detects small shifts in the mean and standard deviation at both low and high levels of autocorrelation more quickly than the combined Shewhart-EWMA chart. This makes the MCAP chart useful to modern production processes where high quality goods are produced with a low fraction of nonconforming products.
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