Adaptation of the Framingham-Wilson Coronary Risk Equation for the Population of Navarra (RICORNA)

Introduction and objectives The Framingham equations overestimate the risk of coronary disease in populations with a low disease incidence. It is more appropriate to take the local population's characteristics into account when estimating coronary risk. Accordingly, the Framingham-Wilson equation has been adapted for the population of Navarra, Spain. This article presents 10- year overall coronary risk charts. Methods The Framingham–Wilson equation was adapted using data on the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and the coronary event rate in the population of Navarra. The version of the Framingham-Wilson equation used included high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). The probability of an event at 10 years for different combinations of risk factors, with an HDL-C concentration of 35-59 mg/dL, are illustrated. Results Using the Framingham equation adapted for Navarra (ie, the RICORNA or Riesgo Coronario Navarra), the proportion with an estimated probability of a coronary event in the next 10 years greater than 9% is approximately half that in the original Framingham population, and the proportion with a high or very high probability (ie, 20%) is one-third. An HDL-C level Conclusions The RICORNA equation can provide a more precise estimate of overall coronary risk and could be useful in primary disease prevention in Navarra. The high HDL-C concentration observed in Navarra might contribute to the associated low coronary morbidity and mortality.