Incidence and mortality of fractures by frailty level over 80 years of age: cohort study using UK electronic health records

Objective This study aimed to estimate the association of frailty with incidence and mortality of fractures at different sites in people aged over 80 years. Design Cohort study. Setting UK family practices from 2001 to 2014. Participants 265 195 registered participants aged 80 years and older. Measurements Frailty status classified into ‘fit’, ‘mild’, ‘moderate’ and ‘severe’ frailty. Fractures, classified into non-fragility and fragility, including fractures of femur, pelvis, shoulder and upper arm, and forearm/wrist. Incidence of fracture, and mortality within 90 days and 1 year, were estimated. Results There were 28 643 fractures including: non-fragility fractures, 9101; femur, 12 501; pelvis, 2172; shoulder and upper arm, 4965; and forearm/wrist, 6315. The incidence of each fracture type was higher in women and increased with frailty category (femur, severe frailty compared with ‘fit’, incidence rate ratio (IRR) 2.4, 95% CI 2.3 to 2.6). Fractures of the femur (95–99 years compared with 80–84 years, IRR 2.7, 95% CI 2.6 to 2.9) and pelvis (IRR 2.9, 95% CI 2.5 to 3.3) were strongly associated with age but non-fragility and forearm fractures were not. Mortality within 90 days was greatest for femur fracture (adjusted HR, compared with forearm fracture 4.3, 95% CI 3.7 to 5.1). Mortality was higher in men and increased with age (HR 5.3, 95% CI 4.3 to 6.5 in those over 100 years compared with 80–84 years) but was less strongly associated with frailty category. Similar associations with fractures were seen at 1-year mortality. Conclusions The incidence of fractures at all sites was higher in women and strongly associated with advancing frailty status, while the risk of mortality after a fracture was greater in men and was associated with age rather than frailty category.