Closing gaps of a quantum advantage with short-time Hamiltonian dynamics

Demonstrating a quantum computational speed-up is a crucial milestone for near-term quantum technology. Recently, sampling protocols for quantum simulators have been proposed that have the potential to show such a quantum advantage, based on commonly made assumptions. The key challenge in the theoretical analysis of this scheme---as of other comparable schemes such as boson sampling---is to lessen the assumptions and close the theoretical loopholes, replacing them by rigorous arguments. In this work, we prove two open conjectures for a simple sampling protocol that is based on the continuous time evolution of a translation-invariant Ising Hamiltonian: anticoncentration of the generated probability distributions and average-case hardness of exactly evaluating those probabilities. The latter is proven building upon recently developed techniques for random circuit sampling. For the former, we exploit the insight that approximate 2-designs for the unitary group admit anticoncentration. We then develop new techniques to prove that the 2D time evolution of the protocol gives rise to approximate 2-designs. Our work provides the strongest theoretical evidence to date that Hamiltonian quantum simulators are classically intractable.