State-Transition Analysis of Time-Sequential Gene Expression Identifies Critical Points That Predict Leukemia Development

Abstract Temporal dynamics of gene expression are informative of changes associated with disease development and evolution. Given the complexity of high-dimensional temporal datasets, an analytical framework guided by a robust theory is needed to interpret time-sequential changes and to predict system dynamics. Herein, we use acute myeloid leukemia as a proof-of-principle to model gene expression dynamics in a transcriptome state-space constructed based on time-sequential RNA-sequencing data. We describe the construction of a state-transition model to identify state-transition critical points which accurately predicts leukemia development. We show an analytical approach based on state-transition critical points identified step-wise transcriptomic perturbations driving leukemia progression. Furthermore, the gene(s) trajectory and geometry of the transcriptome state-space provides biologically-relevant gene expression signals that are not synchronized in time, and allows quantification of gene(s) contribution to leukemia development. Therefore, our state-transition model can synthesize information, identify critical points to guide interpretation of transcriptome trajectories and predict disease development. Graphical Abstract In brief The theory of state-transition is applied to acute myeloid leukemia (AML) to model transcriptome dynamics and trajectories in a state-space, and is used to identify critical points corresponding to critical transcriptomic perturbations that predict leukemia development. Highlights Leukemia transcriptome dynamics are modeled as movement in transcriptome state-space State-transition model and critical points accurately predicts leukemia development Critical point-based approach identifies step-wise transcriptome events in leukemia State-based geometric analysis provides quantification of leukemogenic contribution