Power system weak link identification method based on risk evaluation

2013 
The invention relates to a power system weak link identification method based on risk evaluation and belongs to the field of power system analysis. The method includes acquiring fault probability of elements of a power system, a future load curve of the power system, states of the elements and load of nodes of the power system; utilizing a minimum load shedding loss optimization model to judge the failure state of the power system and determining the optimum load shedding quantity of each node under each element sampling state; finishing calculation of risk indicators of the power system through repeated sampling and power system failure state judgment; conducting statistics on the weak link characteristic quantity corresponding to faults of generators and an electric transmission and transformation device, calculating five element weakness recognition indicators of the elements according to the risk indicators and the weak link characteristic quantity and finally sorting the recognition indicator values to recognize the weak link of a generator set and the electric transmission and transformation device. By means of the method, the weak link of the power system is improved, large-area power failure of the power system is prevented, and operation safety of the power system is improved.
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