Respuesta de la demanda eléctrica basado en el modelo Markoviano

In this document the effects of programs demand response (DR) to be implemented in a power system are described. RD's contribution to the network is calculated using the elasticity of demand under two rate-setting mechanisms: price-based and incentive-based. A mathematical modeling is developed to determine the response sensitivity of the load to different DR programs established by the service provider, and thereby achieve an improvement in demand management. A number of prospects for the implementation of the mechanisms and applications demand response is proposed. A mathematical algorithm based on Markov models to optimize RD programs and their application in real energy markets is built, allowing to determine the probability of change of state, between different levels of electricity consumption and thus reduce peak consumption hours high demand. The objective function is formulated and the results are analyzed.