A Study on Clarifying Relationship between the Traffic Culture Index and Traffic Accidents Using Structural Equation Model

ABSTRACT93% of road traffic accidents result from drivers' fault and Korea has the largest number of deaths from traffic accidents among the OECD members. For this reason, the country is measuring Traffic Culture Index (TCI) in each city, gun and gu annually to improv e traffic safety policies and promote safety consciousness, but the influencing relation between TCI and actual traffic accidents is only based on the assumptions and no verification has been carried out, yet. Therefore, this study aims to verify if in reality, TCI represents the traffic culture level and has an influencing relation with traffic accidents and to suggest an improvement plan of research on the present state of TCI, based on the result. For this purpose, bases on data of the report about the present state of TCI from 20 10 to 2012, and the influencing relation between the number of traffic accidents and the number of deaths from traffic accidents was analyzed through structural equation model. For influencing relation analysis through structural equation, research 1 to analyze the relation among TCI in each city, gun and gu, the number of traffic accidents and the number of deaths, and research 2 to analyze the inf luencing relation of the increase in TCI, the number of traffic accidents and the number of deaths were carried out. When verifying the influencing relation with traffic accidents through structural equation, the goodness of fit of the model was low in research 1 and as TCI increased, the number of accidents and deaths decreased in research 2 and thus the effect of TCI was verified.Key words : Traffic culture index, Structural equation model, Traffic accidents, Driver behavior, Pedestrian behavior초 록도로교통사고 발생원인의 93%는 운전자에 의해 발생하며, 우리나라의 교통사고 사망자수는 OECD회원국 중 1위를 차지하여 국가경제력 위상에 걸맞지 않는 수준에 머물러 있다. 이에 국가에서는 매년 전국 시·군·구를 대상으로 교통문화지수를 측정하여 교통안전정책 개선과 안전의식 함양을 도모하고 있으나 교통문화지수와 실제 교통사고와의 영향관계는 가정에 그치고 있으며 검증은 수행되지 않았다 . 따라서 본 연구는 교통문화지수가 실제로 교통문화수준을 대변하여 교통사고와의 영향관계가 있는지에 대한 검증을 수행하였고, 그 결과를 바탕으로 교통문화지수 실태조사의 개선방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 2010년부터 2012년까지의 교통문화지수 실태조사 보고서의 자료를 바탕으로 구조방정식을 통해 교통사고건수와 교통사고 사망자수의 영향관계를 분석하였다 . 구조방정식을 통한 영향관계 분석은 시·군·구별 교통문화지수와 교통Transportation Engineering