Adaptive Learning Based Building Load Prediction for Microgrid Economic Dispatch

Given that building loads consume roughly 40% of the energy produced in developed countries, smart buildings with local renewable resources offer a viable alternative towards achieving a greener future. Building temperature control strategies typically employ detailed physical models which require a significant amount of time, information and finesse. Even then, due to unknown building parameters and related inaccuracies, future power demands by the building loads are difficult to estimate. This creates unique challenges in the domain of microgrid economic power dispatch for satisfying building power demands through efficient control and scheduling of renewable and non-renewable local resources in conjunction with supply from the main grid. In this work, we estimate the real-time uncertainties in building loads using Gaussian Process (GP) learning and establish the effectiveness of run time model correction in the context of microgrid economic dispatch.