Probability distribution-based distribution network reliability judgment method

The invention discloses a probability distribution-based distribution network reliability judgment method. On the basis of existing reliability judgment indexes, three distribution network reliability judgment indexes are proposed by the judgment method as follows: time to system failure (TTSF), time to system repair (TTSR) and system interruption frequency (SIF), and moreover, the three distribution network reliability judgment indexes are solved through an analytical expression. According to the probability distribution-based distribution network reliability judgment method disclosed by the invention, based on a distribution network partition thought, analytical characterization is performed on the distribution network reliability judgment indexes by adopting random functions respectively from a system level and a node level, and then, the probability distribution computation of a reliability index random function expression is realized by further combining the nonparametric kernel density estimation technology. The new indexes proposed by the method disclosed by the invention are beneficial supplements to a traditional distribution network reliability index system and are in favor of the rapid and visual judgment of the overall random characteristic of the reliability level of the system.