Predictability of Deep Convection in Idealized and Operational Forecasts: Effects of Radar Data Assimilation, Orography and Synoptic Weather Regime

Kevin Bachmann,Christian Keil,George C. Craig,Martin Weissmann,Christian A. Welzbacher

Predictability of Deep Convection in Idealized and Operational Forecasts: Effects of Radar Data Assimilation, Orography and Synoptic Weather Regime

2019

Kevin Bachmann
Christian Keil
George C. Craig
Martin Weissmann
Christian A. Welzbacher

AbstractWe investigate the practical predictability limits of deep convection in a state-of-the-art, high-resolution, limited-area ensemble prediction system. A combination of sophisticated predict...

Keywords:

Mathematics
Meteorology
Predictability
Radar
Data assimilation
Orography
Climatology
Deep convection
ensemble prediction
operational forecasting

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