Evaluación de la solvencia bancaria: Un modelo basado en las pruebas de resistencia de la banca española

Spanish financial system is involved in a restructuring and refinancing process and, in 2012, credit institutions have been submitted to a stress test in order to check their solvency and resilience against increasingly worse economic conditions. This study aims to predict those stress test results measured in terms of tier 1 capital by means of multiple regression where indicators are obtained from the financial statements. The results show that autonomy ratio (equity /debt) has a strong predictive capability, although the model should also consider the outlier status of the nationalized banks.