Prediction on the Contribution of Green Building Development to Carbon Emissions Reduction: A Case Study of Chongqing

Abstract Due to the severe problems caused by huge amount of carbon emissions generation, implementing effectively measures has become an emerging topic around the world. China has set up targets of reducing carbon emissions by 60−65% to 2005 in 2030 in Treaty of Paris. With expectations for energy saving and low carbon emission in construction industry, green building strategies have been conducted by lots of countries. However, limited studies were focused on the relationship between green building targets and carbon-emissions targets. This paper represents an empirical study on Chongqing area to explore the relationship between the proportion of green building area and building carbon emissions intensity. Despite green building start in China is extremely recent, a logarithmic curve was adopted to measure the relationship based on the existing data. Corresponding to the carbon emissions target, the green building proportion should reach to 12.82% in 2030. The findings provide a good reference for governments to evaluate the influence of green building strategies to carbon emissions.