ANALISIS TREND DAN EKSTRAPOLASI DALAM PERENCANAAN SUMBER DAYA MANUSIA KOTA BALIKPAPAN TAHUN 2013-2018:

Sudarmo Sudarmo, Hendika Swasti Lukita, Bani AnharSekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Balikpapansudarmo@stiebalikpapan.ac.id AbstractThe purpose of this study is to conduct a projection of supplies and workforce needs for 2014-2018, andconduct an analysis of the suitability between the supply and workforce need of 2014-2018 and toformulated holistic policies and employment programs that include Labor training programs to improvecompetitiveness in dealing with global markets.This research was conducted in the city of Balikpapan, East Kalimantan Province, precisely at the Officeof Balikpapan City Statistic Agency with primary and secondary data types, and conducted a quantitativedescriptive analysis with the trend and extrapolation method to projecting labor needs in 2014-2018projected using the linier trend method. This projection based on 2014-2018 trends. In labor planning, theinput output model used to see the effect of effective final demand on employment opportunities invarious production sectors. This influence can predicted in the future so that it can used as a materialconsideration of employment policies where the labor supply and economic growth in the city ofBalikpapan is not balanced. Significant differences between labor supply and economic and technologicalgrowth can cause unemployment.Synergy and energy in the field of employment program are need as innovation and creativity in everybusiness sector to equip skilled and strong workforce to improve the quality and skills of the workforce. Keywords: Labor Supply, Labor Planning, Employment Opportunities.