Forecasting Analysis of Carbon Emission from China's Coal-fired Power Enterprises Based on the Logistic Model

2014 
As the biggest carbon emission country in the world, China has to pay more attention on environmental issues. Coal-fired power enterprises are the major sources of carbon emissions in China. How to predict and analyze the carbon emissions of China's coal-fired power enterprises is a critical issue in the field of low-carbon economy research. This paper calculates 1996-2011 China's coal-fired power enterprises carbon emissions according to the inventory method, analyze the existing situation carbon emissions, and predicts the further trend of China's coal-fired power enterprises carbon emissions through Logistic model. The result shows that the carbon emissions will continue to increase in the further, so it is necessary to encourage energy efficiency and reduce energy consumption per unit to achieve low-carbon economy development.
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