Circannual versus seasonal variations of longitudinally sampled 25-hydroxycholecalciferol serum levels

Abstract Seasonal variations in human serum levels of 25-hydroxycholecalciferol (25OHD) have been largely documented in transverse studies of population. But seasonality is not per se a demonstration that 25OHD serum levels fluctuate along the course of year according to a waveform profile with a periodic rhythm. Because of this, we attempted to investigate the possible occurrence of a circannual rhythm for 25OHD serum levels in a longitudinal design, by fitting a 365.25-day cosine curve to temporal biodata recorded in 10 clinically healthy subjects, monthly sampled for RIA determinations of 25OHD. Cosinor procedure statistically validated the occurrence of a circannual rhythm for 25OHD serum concentrations at a highly significant level of probability ( P = 0.0015) for null hypothesis amplitude = 0. With 95% of probability, amplitude ranges from 5.0 to 16.5 ng/ml (mean value of oscillation = 10 ng/ml), while acrophase is temporally located from September 14 to December 3 (mean timing = October 21). Yearly, mean values for 25OHD serum concentrations is of 40.3 ± 5.4 ng/ml as quantified by the line which transversely divides the cosine curve interpolating original biodata. By calculating the band of a complete 12 months variability which includes 90% of the distribution with 90% confidence limits, the circannual chronodesm of 25OHD serum levels has been obtained. Such a chronodesmic sinusoid has been compared to the circannual chronogram. By this comparison, a dissociation between the crest (October) and the peak (August) has been detected. The finding suggests that seasonal variations are superimposed to the circannual rhythm. Seasonal but also circannual changes, thus, characterize the yearly variability of 25OHD serum levels in man.