Forests are among the most diverse ecosystems on the planet, and their biomass serves as a key measure for assessing the biological productivity and carbon cycle of terrestrial forest ecosystems. Recognizing the factors that impact forest ecosystems is essential for assessing their health and developing effective conservation strategies to preserve species diversity and ecological equilibrium. This study considered forest biomass as the explained variable, economic density as the explanatory variable, and human activities, land use, and forestland protection as the control variables. Panel data encompassing 448 counties within the Yellow River Basin (YRB) for the years 2008, 2013, and 2018 were utilized as inputs for ArcGIS spatial analysis and two-way fixed-effects modeling. This approach aimed to evaluate the impact of socio-economic factors on forest biomass. The findings indicate that, (1) from both temporal and spatial viewpoints, the distribution of forest biomass in the upper reaches of the Yellow River demonstrated an improvement over the period from 2008 to 2018. Notably, in 2013, there was a significant reduction in the forest biomass distribution in the middle and lower sections, although the levels remained substantially above the average for those regions. Throughout the period from 2008 to 2018, the overall forest biomass within the YRB displayed a spatial distribution pattern, with elevated levels observed in the western areas and diminished levels in the eastern regions. (2) A one-unit increase in economic density led to a 1.002% increase in forest biomass. In the YRB, a positive correlation was observed between the economic density and forest biomass, especially in the middle and lower reaches of the river. (3) In the upstream region, forest biomass was strongly negatively correlated with cultivated land but significantly positively correlated with forest land protection. In the middle reaches, although population growth and arable land expansion led to a decrease in forest biomass, primary industry development and urbanization promoted forest biomass growth. The development of primary industries other than planting, such as the forestry industry, can contribute to the forest biomass. Moreover, in the downstream area, a strong negative correlation was observed between the number of permanent residents and forest biomass. We recommend modifications to human activities to enhance the forest biomass and the preserve forest ecosystem stability.
Vegetation, serving as the primary constituent of terrestrial ecosystems, plays a crucial role in regulating energy flow and material cycles and providing vital resources for human socio-economic activities. This study analyzes the spatio-temporal patterns of economic density and vegetation coverage in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) based on forest resource inventory and socio-economic data from 448 counties in 2008, 2013, and 2018. A three-tiered criterion layer is constructed using economic density as the core explanatory variable, encompassing social development factors, land use factors, and natural factors. A two-way fixed effects model is then utilized to analyze the impact of economic density on vegetation coverage. Results reveal that: (1) Spatially, economic density demonstrates a “low in the west and high in the east” pattern, with an overall upward trend in the YRB. Conversely, vegetation cover exhibits a “high in the west and low in the east” pattern, displaying a downward trend. (2) Over the 2008–2018 period, a significant negative correlation between economic density and vegetation cover is observed in each county of the YRB, with vegetation cover decreasing by 1.108% for every 1 unit increase in economic density. Notably, the upstream areas of the YRB experience a significant increase in vegetation coverage, while the middle and lower reaches witness a decrease. (3) Considering control variables, the proportion of the primary industry, urbanization rate, forest protection level, and cultivated land area exert a significant influence on vegetation coverage across the entire basin. Policymakers should formulate relevant policies to achieve sustainable development in the YRB, as discussed in the proposed countermeasures. This study delineates a practical pathway for high-quality economic development and high-level ecological protection in the YRB, offering a valuable reference for analogous research in other regions.
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