To determine the prognostic relevance of non-regional lymph node (NRLN) metastases presenting synchronously with bone metastases in metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) for guiding treatment decisions based on oligometastatic definitions.Patients diagnosed with mPCa between 2004 and 2013 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database and were grouped by metastatic sites into only NRLN, only bone, bone + NRLN and other sites ± bone/NRLN metastases. Multivariate Cox and competing risk regression analyses were performed to compare the risks of all-cause mortality (ACM) and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) associated with bone + NRLN metastases before and after propensity-score matching to patients with only bone metastases. This was complemented with landmark and supplementary analyses.Of 17 167 patients with mPCa identified, 63.1% presented with only bone metastases, while bone and NRLN metastases co-occurred in 8.9% of the cohort. On multivariate analyses, after adjusting for potential confounders (clinical and sociodemographic), patients with bone + NRLN metastases had a significantly higher risk of ACM (hazard ratio [HR] 1.161, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.084-1.243; P < 0.001) and PCSM (subdistribution HR 1.149, 95% CI 1.067-1.237; P < 0.001) compared with patients with only bone metastases. Landmark analyses limited to survivors of ≥6 and ≥12 months again showed a significantly increased risk of ACM for patients presenting with bone + NRLN metastases compared with patients with only bone metastases. In a subsequent 1:1 propensity-score-matched cohort of patients with bone + NRLN metastases and only bone metastases, the bone + NRLN group had higher multivariate-adjusted hazard rates for ACM (HR 1.202, 95% CI 1.102-1.311; P < 0.001) and PCSM (subdistribution HR 1.146, 95% CI 1.044-1.259; P = 0.004).Patients with concomitant NRLN and bone metastases have a higher risk of death, NRLN and bone metastases therefore representing a high-risk feature, when compared with patients with bone metastases alone. The current therapeutic stratification of 'low-' vs 'high-volume' disease does not account for this phenomenon, and patients requiring aggressive combination therapy may not receive maximum therapeutic benefit as a consequence.
Abstract Abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone (AAP) previously demonstrated improved survival in STAMPEDE, a multiarm, multistage platform trial in men starting long‐term hormone therapy for prostate cancer. This long‐term analysis in metastatic patients was planned for 3 years after the first results. Standard‐of‐care (SOC) was androgen deprivation therapy. The comparison randomised patients 1:1 to SOC‐alone with or without daily abiraterone acetate 1000 mg + prednisolone 5 mg (SOC + AAP), continued until disease progression. The primary outcome measure was overall survival. Metastatic disease risk group was classified retrospectively using baseline CT and bone scans by central radiological review and pathology reports. Analyses used Cox proportional hazards and flexible parametric models, accounting for baseline stratification factors. One thousand and three patients were contemporaneously randomised (November 2011 to January 2014): median age 67 years; 94% newly‐diagnosed; metastatic disease risk group: 48% high, 44% low, 8% unassessable; median PSA 97 ng/mL. At 6.1 years median follow‐up, 329 SOC‐alone deaths (118 low‐risk, 178 high‐risk) and 244 SOC + AAP deaths (75 low‐risk, 145 high‐risk) were reported. Adjusted HR = 0.60 (95% CI: 0.50‐0.71; P = 0.31 × 10 −9 ) favoured SOC + AAP, with 5‐years survival improved from 41% SOC‐alone to 60% SOC + AAP. This was similar in low‐risk (HR = 0.55; 95% CI: 0.41‐0.76) and high‐risk (HR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.43‐0.69) patients. Median and current maximum time on SOC + AAP was 2.4 and 8.1 years. Toxicity at 4 years postrandomisation was similar, with 16% patients in each group reporting grade 3 or higher toxicity. A sustained and substantial improvement in overall survival of all metastatic prostate cancer patients was achieved with SOC + abiraterone acetate + prednisolone, irrespective of metastatic disease risk group.
BackgroundBased on previous findings, we hypothesised that radiotherapy to the prostate would improve overall survival in men with metastatic prostate cancer, and that the benefit would be greatest in patients with a low metastatic burden. We aimed to compare standard of care for metastatic prostate cancer, with and without radiotherapy.MethodsWe did a randomised controlled phase 3 trial at 117 hospitals in Switzerland and the UK. Eligible patients had newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer. We randomly allocated patients open-label in a 1:1 ratio to standard of care (control group) or standard of care and radiotherapy (radiotherapy group). Randomisation was stratified by hospital, age at randomisation, nodal involvement, WHO performance status, planned androgen deprivation therapy, planned docetaxel use (from December, 2015), and regular aspirin or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use. Standard of care was lifelong androgen deprivation therapy, with up-front docetaxel permitted from December, 2015. Men allocated radiotherapy received either a daily (55 Gy in 20 fractions over 4 weeks) or weekly (36 Gy in six fractions over 6 weeks) schedule that was nominated before randomisation. The primary outcome was overall survival, measured as the number of deaths; this analysis had 90% power with a one-sided α of 2·5% for a hazard ratio (HR) of 0·75. Secondary outcomes were failure-free survival, progression-free survival, metastatic progression-free survival, prostate cancer-specific survival, and symptomatic local event-free survival. Analyses used Cox proportional hazards and flexible parametric models, adjusted for stratification factors. The primary outcome analysis was by intention to treat. Two prespecified subgroup analyses tested the effects of prostate radiotherapy by baseline metastatic burden and radiotherapy schedule. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00268476.FindingsBetween Jan 22, 2013, and Sept 2, 2016, 2061 men underwent randomisation, 1029 were allocated the control and 1032 radiotherapy. Allocated groups were balanced, with a median age of 68 years (IQR 63–73) and median amount of prostate-specific antigen of 97 ng/mL (33–315). 367 (18%) patients received early docetaxel. 1082 (52%) participants nominated the daily radiotherapy schedule before randomisation and 979 (48%) the weekly schedule. 819 (40%) men had a low metastatic burden, 1120 (54%) had a high metastatic burden, and the metastatic burden was unknown for 122 (6%). Radiotherapy improved failure-free survival (HR 0·76, 95% CI 0·68–0·84; p<0·0001) but not overall survival (0·92, 0·80–1·06; p=0·266). Radiotherapy was well tolerated, with 48 (5%) adverse events (Radiation Therapy Oncology Group grade 3–4) reported during radiotherapy and 37 (4%) after radiotherapy. The proportion reporting at least one severe adverse event (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events grade 3 or worse) was similar by treatment group in the safety population (398 [38%] with control and 380 [39%] with radiotherapy).InterpretationRadiotherapy to the prostate did not improve overall survival for unselected patients with newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer.FundingCancer Research UK, UK Medical Research Council, Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research, Astellas, Clovis Oncology, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and Sanofi-Aventis.
5076 Background: Treatment intensification with docetaxel or abiraterone improved survival for advanced prostate cancer starting androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in the Systemic Therapy in Advancing or Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Evaluation of Drug Efficacy (STAMPEDE, NCT00268476) trial. However, survival and time-to-progression is highly variable on ADT, introducing the risk of unnecessary toxicity from additional treatments for some patients. Here we test the prognostic association of proliferation index using Ki67 scores in the control arm of the STAMPEDE population of high-risk localised (M0) and metastatic (M1) prostate cancer. Methods: Pre-ADT diagnostic needle biopsies were obtained from 517 men randomized in STAMPEDE arm A between 2006 and 2015. These were assessed for proliferation using an analytically optimised Ki67 immunohistochemistry assay. Ki67 was tested for associations with baseline clinico-pathological variables (Grade group, pre-ADT serum PSA and imaging metastatic burden) in univariable linear-regression models, and for associations with survival outcomes in multivariable Cox-regression models adjusted for these and additional confounding variables. Primary outcome measure was overall survival, secondary outcomes were prostate cancer-specific, failure-free, progression-free and metastatic progression-free survival. Results: Ki67 was available for 475 patients who received ADT only for at least 2 years ± radiotherapy. Of 202 M0, 74 were node positive. Of 273 M1, 116, 127 and 30 were respectively low, high and unknown radiological M1 volume. Ki67 score associated with higher Gleason (p=7.15x10 -11 ) and presence of extra-pelvic metastases (p=1.41x10 -8 ). Increasing Ki67 scores showed a strong linear association with poorer overall survival, with an estimated 2% increase in the hazard of death per percentage increase in the score (adjusted HR=1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.02; p=1.04x10 -5 ). There was also strong evidence that Ki67 associated positively with all secondary outcomes, including prostate cancer-specific survival (adjusted p=5.50x10 -6 ) and metastatic progression-free survival (adjusted p=3.50x10 -9 ). Conclusions: Ki67 immuno-score is strongly prognostic in clinically advanced prostate cancer independent of Gleason score and the other clinicopathological variables tested in this study. Ki67 is a clinically scalable assay that could improve selection for treatment intensification and provide a tool for screening patients most likely to benefit from further molecular investigation.
Prostate radiotherapy (RT) is a first-line option for newly diagnosed men with low-burden metastatic prostate cancer. The current criterion to define this clinical state is based on manual bone metastasis counts, but enumeration of bone metastases is limited by interobserver variations, and it does not account for metastasis volume or lesional coalescence. The automated bone scan index (aBSI) is a quantitative method of evaluating bone metastatic burden in a standardised and reproducible manner.To evaluate whether aBSI has utility as a predictive imaging biomarker to define a newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer population that might benefit from the addition of prostate RT to standard of care (SOC) systemic therapy.This is an exploratory analysis of men with newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer randomised in a 1:1 ratio to either SOC or SOC + prostate RT within the STAMPEDE "M1|RT comparison".The SOC was lifelong androgen deprivation therapy, with up-front docetaxel permitted from December 2015. Men allocated RT received either a daily or a weekly schedule that was nominated before randomisation.Baseline bone scans were evaluated retrospectively to calculate aBSI. We used overall (OS) and failure-free (FFS) survival as the end points. Treatment-aBSI interaction was evaluated using the multivariable fractional polynomial interaction (MFPI) and subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot. Further analysis was done in aBSI quartiles using Cox regression models adjusted for stratification factors.Baseline bone scans for 660 (SOC: 323 and SOC + RT: 337) of 2061 men randomised within the "M1|RT comparison" met the software requirements for aBSI calculation. The median age was 68 yr, median PSA was 100 ng/mL, median aBSI was 0.9, and median follow-up was 39 mo. Baseline patient characteristics including aBSI were balanced between the treatment groups. Using the MFPI procedure, there was evidence of aBSI-treatment interaction for OS (p = 0.04, MFPI procedure) and FFS (p < 0.01, MFPI procedure). Graphical evaluation of estimated treatment effect plots showed that the OS and FFS benefit from prostate RT was greatest in patients with a low aBSI. Further analysis in quartiles based on aBSI supported this finding.A low automated bone scan index is predictive of survival benefit associated with prostate RT in men with newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer.The widely used bone scan can be evaluated using an automated technique to potentially select men with newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer who might benefit from prostate radiotherapy.
The authors regret that Fig.2F has been incorrectly titled. The correct title is "Failure-free survival high burden M1". Addition of docetaxel to hormonal therapy in low- and high-burden metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer: long-term survival results from the STAMPEDE trialAnnals of OncologyVol. 30Issue 12PreviewSTAMPEDE has previously reported that the use of upfront docetaxel improved overall survival (OS) for metastatic hormone naïve prostate cancer patients starting long-term androgen deprivation therapy. We report on long-term outcomes stratified by metastatic burden for M1 patients. Full-Text PDF Open Access
Abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone previously showed a clear survival advantage in men starting long-term hormone therapy for prostate cancer in STAMPEDE, a randomized controlled trial using a multi-arm multi-stage platform design. STAMPEDE included a wide range of men with M1 or M0 disease. The LATITUDE trial, in patients with high-burden M1 disease only, reported a similar magnitude of effect to the comparable subset of STAMPEDE pts. We report long-term outcomes in the M1 subset of pts in STAMPEDE. All patients received androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Stratified randomization allocated pts 1:1 to ADT alone or adding daily abiraterone acetate 1000mg + prednisolone 5mg (SOC+AAP) continued until PSA, radiological & clinical progression. The primary outcome measure was death from any cause. The data freeze for this long-term analysis was planned for 3yr after the primary survival results when a meaningful increase in data was anticipated. Analyses used Cox proportional hazards & flexible parametric models, adjusted for baseline stratification factors. Of 1,917 pts contemporaneously randomized to these groups (Nov-2011 to Jan-2014), 1,003 (52%) had M1 disease. The M1 groups were balanced: median age 67yr; 48% high-burden, 44% low-burden, 8% burden not assessable; 94% newly-diagnosed; median PSA 97ng/ml. Median follow-up had increased from 3.5yr to 6.1yr & number of ADT-only deaths increased by 50%, from 218 previously to 329. With 244 ADT+AAP deaths, the adjusted HR=0·60 (95%CI 0·50—0·71; p=0.31x10-9) favouring ADT+AAP, with 5-yr survival improved from 41% ADT-only to 60% ADT+AAP. The relative effect of abiraterone was similar in low-burden (HR=0·55; 95%CI 0·41—0·76) and high-burden (HR=0·54; 95%CI 0·43—0·69) patients. Median time on ADT+AAP was 2.4yr, with a current maximum of 8.1yr. Toxicity at 4yr post-randomisation was similar, with 16% of patients in each group reporting grade 3 or higher toxicity. A sustained and substantial improvement in overall survival of M1 prostate cancer patients was achieved with ADT + abiraterone acetate + prednisolone, irrespective of burden of disease.