HIV-1 genotypic susceptibility scores (GSSs) were proven to be significant prognostic factors of fixed time-point virologic outcomes after combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) switch/initiation. However, their relative-hazard for the time to virologic failure has not been thoroughly investigated, and an expert system that is able to predict how long a new cART regimen will remain effective has never been designed. We analyzed patients of the Italian ARCA cohort starting a new cART from 1999 onwards either after virologic failure or as treatment-naïve. The time to virologic failure was the endpoint, from the 90th day after treatment start, defined as the first HIV-1 RNA > 400 copies/ml, censoring at last available HIV-1 RNA before treatment discontinuation. We assessed the relative hazard/importance of GSSs according to distinct interpretation systems (Rega, ANRS and HIVdb) and other covariates by means of Cox regression and random survival forests (RSF). Prediction models were validated via the bootstrap and c-index measure. The dataset included 2337 regimens from 2182 patients, of which 733 were previously treatment-naïve. We observed 1067 virologic failures over 2820 persons-years. Multivariable analysis revealed that low GSSs of cART were independently associated with the hazard of a virologic failure, along with several other covariates. Evaluation of predictive performance yielded a modest ability of the Cox regression to predict the virologic endpoint (c-index≈0.70), while RSF showed a better performance (c-index≈0.73, p < 0.0001 vs. Cox regression). Variable importance according to RSF was concordant with the Cox hazards. GSSs of cART and several other covariates were investigated using linear and non-linear survival analysis. RSF models are a promising approach for the development of a reliable system that predicts time to virologic failure better than Cox regression. Such models might represent a significant improvement over the current methods for monitoring and optimization of cART.
HIV-1 non-B subtypes have recently entered Western Europe following immigration from other regions. The distribution of non-B clades and their association with demographic factors, over the entire course of the HIV-1 epidemic, have not been fully investigated in Italy.We carried out a phylogenetic analysis of HIV-1 pol sequences derived from 3670 patients followed at 50 Italian clinical centres over nearly three decades.Overall, 417 patients (11.4%) carried non-B subtypes. The prevalence of non-B strains increased from 2.6% in 1980-1992 to 18.9% in 1993-2008 (P<0.0001) in a subset of 2479 subjects with a known year of diagnosis. A multivariate analysis on a subset of 1364 patients for whom relevant demographic data were available indicated that African ethnicity, heterosexual route of infection and year of diagnosis were independently associated with non-B HIV-1 infection (P ≤ 0.0001). All pure subtypes, except for clade K, and seven circulating recombinant forms were detected, accounting for 56.6 and 34.1% of the non-B infections, respectively. The F1 subtype was the most prevalent non-B clade among Europeans and was acquired heterosexually in half of this patient population. Unique recombinant forms accounted for 9.4% of the non-B sequences and showed a B/F1 recombination pattern in one-third of cases.The circulation of non-B clades has significantly increased in Italy in association with demographic changes. Spread of the F1 subtype and B/F recombinants appears to predominate, which may result in a redistribution of the relative proportions of the different strains, and this could lead to overlapping epidemics. Thus, the HIV-1 landscape in Italy may in future be distinct from that of the rest of Europe.
Recombination between HIV-1 subtypes B and F has generated several circulating and unique recombinant forms, particularly in Latin American areas. In Italy, subtype B is highly prevalent while subtype F is the most common pure non-B subtype. To investigate the recombination pattern in Italian BF recombinant viruses, we characterized full-length sequences derived from 15 adult patients, mostly Italian and infected by the heterosexual route. One of the BF mosaics was a CRF29, three sequences clustered with low bootstrap values with CRF39, CRF40, and CRF42. With the exception of the CRF29-like sequence, the other recombination patterns were unique, but two possible clusters were identified. Analysis of the gp120 V3 domain suggested a possible link with subtype F from Eastern Europe rather than from Latin America, favoring the hypothesis of local recombination between clade B and F viruses over that of import of BF recombinants from Latin America. HIV-1 subtypes B and F appear prone to generation of unique recombinants in Italy, warranting epidemiological surveillance and investigation of a possible clinical significance.
Maraviroc is an HIV-1 coreceptor antagonist that has shown good efficacy and tolerability in treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients harboring CCR5-tropic virus. The use of Maraviroc in treatment simplification in patients with suppressed plasma HIV-1 RNA requires analysis of HIV-1 DNA. Coreceptor tropism testing is often performed remotely at reference laboratories. In this study paired whole blood stored at + 4°C and at−20°C were compared as a source for genotypic coreceptor tropism testing. Two hundred paired whole blood samples from different patients were analysed. Each sample was stored in two different conditions: one aliquot was stored at−20°C until spin column DNA extraction (WB20) and one aliquot was stored at +4°C for two weeks and then placed at room temperature (22-24°C) for two days before DNA extraction (WB4). Subsequently, a fragment encompassing the HIV-1 gp120 V3 domain was amplified by a singlicate nested PCR followed by triplicate nested PCR in the negative samples. A randomly selected panel of 20 paired WB4 and WB20 duplicate amplification products were sequenced and coreceptor tropism was inferred by geno2pheno [coreceptor]. WB20 yielded a higher amount of DNA than WB4 (median [IQR] values 332.5 ng/μl [117.5-401] and 107 ng/μl [56.6-318], respectively; P < 0.001). However, the DNA purity was higher for WB4 than for WB20 (median distance from the optimal OD260/280 ratio, 0.14 [0.07-0.79] and 0.96 [0.36-1.10], respectively; P < 0.0001). The number of samples successfully amplified was 152 (76.0%) for WB20 and 155 (77.5%) for WB4 with the first PCR and 179 (89.5%) for WB20 and 181 (90.5%) for WB4 (P = ns) following subsequent triplicate analysis. The inferred coreceptor tropism was concordant in 18 out of 20 paired WB4 and WB20 samples. Two samples yielded discordant results, consistent with the discordance rate within duplicates from the same sample source (2/20 with WB4 and 1/20 with WB20) due to the inherent gp120 V3 variability. Storing whole blood at +4°C for up to two weeks and shipping at room temperature is a convenient method for obtaining HIV-1 gp120 V3 sequence information via testing at a remote laboratory in patients with suppressed viremia.
Raltegravir intensification is associated with an increase in 2-LTR episomal HIV DNA= circles, indicating a persistent low-level replication, in some individuals in ART with suppressed HIV RNA. We aimed at monitoring residual plasma HIV RNA and cellular HIV DNA in virologically suppressed patients switching to a raltegravir-based regimen.Forty-six HIV-infected subjects on PI or NNRTI based-regimens, with plasma HIV RNA level <40 copies/mL for ≥6 months and CD4 >200 cells/µL for ≥12 months were enrolled. Thirty-four patients switched to raltegravir-based regimen (RASTA study group) and 12 continued a PI or NNRTI based-regimen (control group). Ultrasensitive HIV residual viremia and total PBMC HIV DNA were assessed at baseline (W0), 24 (W24) and 48 (W48) weeks. HIV RNA levels were determined by an ultrasensitive test derived from a commercial real time PCR (limit of detection 5 copies/ml). A real time PCR was used to quantify HIV DNA copy numbers in PBMCs.At W0, HIV DNA was detected in all patients while at W48 it was detectable in 82.3% of RASTA group vs 100% of controls (p=0.01). The difference between the average values of HIV DNA log10 copies/10°6 CD4 at W0 (median 3.11, IQR 2.70-3.45) and W48 (median 2.87, IQR 2.24-3.38) was statistically significant for RASTA group (p=0.035). Male gender (mean difference -0.37 log10 copies/10°6 PBMC, p=0.023) and previous PI based-ART (mean difference +0.39 log10 copies/10°6 PBMC, p=0.036) were predictive of HIV DNA level at W0. After adjusting for previous PI based-ART, male gender was the only variable independently associated with HIV DNA size at W0 (mean difference -0.326 log10 copies/10°6 PBMC, 95% CI -0.641, -0.011 p=0.043). Ultrasensitive HIV-1 RNA was detectable at W0 in 50% of RASTA group versus 66.7% of controls and at W48 in 32.4% versus 45.5%, respectively. No differences were found between HIV RNA levels at W0 and W48 within and between the two groups.Switching to raltegravir-based regimens may be associated with a decrease of HIV reservoir, as measured by total PBMC HIV DNA. A larger sample size is required to confirm this finding.
A total of 81 HIV-1 protease (PR) and reverse transcriptase (RT) sequences were obtained from 46 drug-naive and 35 pretreated individual HIV-1-infected orphaned children followed at a donor-funded rural pediatric clinic in Dodoma, Tanzania. PR and RT sequencing was performed by home-brew technology on 70 plasma samples and 11 dried blood spot specimens. Nucleoside RT inhibitor (NRTI) resistance mutations were detected in 2.2% of drug-naive and 82.9% of pretreated children. Nonnucleoside RT inhibitor (NNRTI) resistance mutations were detected in 69.6% of drug-naive and 91.4% of pretreated children. Resistance to protease inhibitors was rare (8.6% in pretreated children). Based on few complete treatment records, only around 20% of the treated children had undetectable plasma HIV-1 RNA. The rate of NRTI and NNRTI resistance in this donor-funded rural pediatric clinic was high and appeared to limit virological response to treatment.
