Craig Wayson

US Forest Service

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Co-Authors

Hans Peter Schmid

Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

Richard A. Birdsey

Woodwell Climate Research Center

Randall K. Kolka

Northern Research Station

Sue Grimmond

University of Reading

D. Dragoni

Indiana University Bloomington

Jhon del Águila Pasquel

Universidad Nacional de la Amazonía Peruana

Yude Pan

US Forest Service

J. C. Randolph

Indiana University Bloomington

Erik A. Lilleskov

Northern Research Station

Kevin J. McCullough

Northern Research Station

Cooperative Institutions

US Forest Service

Northern Research Station

United States Department of Agriculture

Indiana University Bloomington

University of Minnesota

Michigan Technological University

North Carolina State University

Rocky Mountain Research Station

Universidad Nacional de Colombia

Instituto de Investigaciones de la Amazonía Peruana

Author Statistics

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Hydrometeorological sensitivities of net ecosystem carbon dioxide and methane exchange of an Amazonian palm swamp peatland

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (2020)

Timothy J. Griffis D. Tyler Roman Jeffrey D. Wood M. J. Deventer Lizardo Fachín

Swamp

Hydrometeorology

Biogeochemistry

Carbon sink

Ecosystem respiration

10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108167

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Citations (46)

Quantifying Uncertainty in Allometric Models: Fake Forests for the Real World

AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts (2019)

M. I. Olguin-Alvarez Craig Wayson Ruth D. Yanai Oswaldo Carrillo

Allometry

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Improving uncertainty in forest carbon accounting for REDD+ mitigation efforts

Environmental Research Letters (2020)

Ruth D. Yanai Craig Wayson David Lee Andrés Espejo John L. Campbell

Abstract Reductions in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases are urgently needed to avoid the most catastrophic consequences of warming. Reducing deforestation and forest degradation presents a climate change mitigation opportunity critical to meeting Paris Agreement goals. One strategy for decreasing carbon emissions from forests is to provide developing countries with results-based financial incentives for reducing deforestation: nearly two billion dollars are currently committed to finance such programs, referred to as REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation, conservation, sustainable management of forests, and enhancement of forest carbon stocks). Countries participating in these programs must document the uncertainty in their estimates of emissions and emission reductions, and payments are reduced if uncertainties are high. Our examination of documentation submitted to date to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Forest Carbon Partnership Facility (FCPF) reveals that uncertainties are commonly underestimated, both by omitting important sources of uncertainty and by incorrectly combining uncertainties. Here, we offer recommendations for addressing common problems in estimating uncertainty in emissions and emission reductions. Better uncertainty estimates will enable countries to improve forest carbon accounting, contribute to better informed forest management, and support efforts to track global greenhouse gas emissions. It will also strengthen confidence in markets for climate mitigation efforts. Demand by companies for nature-based carbon credits is growing and if such credits are used for offsets, in exchange for fossil fuel emissions, it is essential that they represent accurately quantified emissions reductions.

Deforestation

Carbon accounting

Carbon credit

Carbon offset

Sustainable Forest Management

10.1088/1748-9326/abb96f

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Citations (40)

Integrated Modeling and Assessment of Climate Change Mitigation in North America: Lessons learned from Mexico

AGUFM (2016)

M. I. Olguin-Alvarez Werner A. Kurz Craig Wayson Richard A. Birdsey Katherine Richardson

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Erratum to “Local-scale heterogeneity of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), absorbed PAR and net radiation as a function of topography, sky conditions and leaf area index” [Remote Sensing of Environment 103 (2006) 324–337]

Remote Sensing of Environment (2007)

A. J. Oliphant Sue Grimmond Hans Peter Schmid Craig Wayson

Photosynthetically active radiation

10.1016/j.rse.2006.10.005

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Citations (1)

Applying a Systems Approach to Monitoring and Assessing Climate Change Mitigation Potential in Mexico's Forest Sector

AGUFM (2017)

M. I. Olguin-Alvarez Craig Wayson Max Fellows Richard A. Birdsey C. Smyth

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Is Indonesian peatland loss a cautionary tale for Peru? A two-country comparison of the magnitude and causes of tropical peatland degradation

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change (2018)

Erik A. Lilleskov Kevin J. McCullough Kristell Hergoualc’h Dennis Del Castillo Torres Rodney A. Chimner

Deforestation

10.1007/s11027-018-9790-3

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Citations (59)

Applying a systems approach to assess carbon emission reductions from climate change mitigation in Mexico’s forest sector

Environmental Research Letters (2018)

Marcela Olguín Craig Wayson Max Fellows Richard A. Birdsey C. Smyth

The Paris Agreement of the United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change calls for a balance of anthropogenic greenhouse emissions and removals in the latter part of this century. Mexico indicated in its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and its Climate Change Mid-Century Strategy that the land sector will contribute to meeting GHG emission reduction goals. Since 2012, the Mexican government through its National Forestry Commission, with international financial and technical support, has been developing carbon dynamics models to explore climate change mitigation options in the forest sector. Following a systems approach, here we assess the biophysical mitigation potential of forest ecosystems, harvested wood products and their substitution benefits (i.e. the change in emissions resulting from substitution of wood for more emissions-intensive products and fossil fuels), for policy alternatives considered by the Mexican government, such as a net zero deforestation rate and sustainable forest management. We used available analytical frameworks (Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Sector and a harvested wood products model), parameterized with local input data in two contrasting Mexican states. Using information from the National Forest Monitoring System (e.g. forest inventories, remote sensing, disturbance data), we demonstrate that activities aimed at reaching a net-zero deforestation rate can yield significant CO2e mitigation benefits by 2030 and 2050 relative to a baseline scenario ('business as usual'), but if combined with increasing forest harvest to produce long-lived products and substitute more energy-intensive materials, emissions reductions could also provide other co-benefits (e.g. jobs, illegal logging reduction). We concluded that the relative impact of mitigation activities is locally dependent, suggesting that mitigation strategies should be designed and implemented at sub-national scales. We were also encouraged about the ability of the modeling framework to effectively use Mexico's data, and showed the need to include multiple sectors and types of collaborators (scientific and policy-maker communities) to design more comprehensive portfolios for climate change mitigation.

Sustainable Forest Management

Deforestation

Baseline (sea)

10.1088/1748-9326/aaaa03

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Citations (20)

Linking Carbon Fluxes with Remotely-Sensed Vegetation Indices for Leaf Area and Aboveground Biomass Through Footprint Climatology

AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts (2010)

Craig Wayson Kenneth L. Clark D. Y. Hollinger Nicholas S. Skowronski Hans Schmid

Footprint

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