Results of multiple comparison tests in cases when repeated-measures generalized or general linear models indicated a significant reach type or treatment effect.
ABSTRACT Over two‐thirds of global rivers are subjected to flow regulation. Although it is widely recognized that flow regulation can adversely affect riparian vegetation—a critical component of river ecosystems—the specific roles of various drivers remain poorly understood. To address this gap, we conducted a broad‐scale meta‐analysis, aiming to elucidate how different factors mediate the adverse impacts of flow regulation on riparian vegetation. This meta‐analysis encompassed 59 papers, spanning 278 dams constructed on 146 rivers. We extracted data on four key indices of riparian vegetation: species richness and abundance of all riparian species, and those indices exclusively for non‐native species. Indices were compared between regulated and free‐flowing or pre‐damming rivers to quantify the impact of flow regulation. Our meta‐analysis revealed a moderate but significant reduction in the richness and abundance of all riparian species under flow regulation, coupled with a strong increase in the abundance of non‐native species. Riparian vegetation in arid and continental climate regions experienced stronger negative impacts than those in tropical and temperate climates. Furthermore, the adverse effects on riparian vegetation were more pronounced downstream of dams than upstream. Considering climate region, study identity, and relative position to the dam as random variables, it became evident that years since flow regulation emerged as the most important factor influencing species richness. Over time, richness gradually recovered from initially low levels. However, this recovery was slowed by increasing flow regulation intensity (percentage of annual runoff stored). Additionally, the impact was more evident in larger rivers. To support regulated river management, we recommend prioritizing the protection of riparian vegetation in arid and continental climates, with emphasis on areas downstream of dams, limiting flow regulation intensity, particularly in larger rivers, and monitoring non‐native species to prevent disproportionate spread.
I propose that global patterns in numbers of range-restricted endemic species are caused by variation in the amplitude of climatic change occurring on time-scales of 10-100 thousand years (Milankovitch oscillations). The smaller the climatic shifts, the more probable it is that palaeoendemics survive and that diverging gene pools persist without going extinct or merging, favouring the evolution of neoendemics. Using the change in mean annual temperature since the last glacial maximum, estimated from global circulation models, I show that the higher the temperature change in an area, the fewer endemic species of mammals, birds, reptiles, amphibians and vascular plants it harbours. This relationship was robust to variation in area (for areas greater than 10(4) km2), latitudinal position, extent of former glaciation and whether or not areas are oceanic islands. Past climatic change was a better predictor of endemism than annual temperature range in all phylads except amphibians, suggesting that Rapoport's rule (i.e. species range sizes increase with latitude) is best explained by the increase in the amplitude of climatic oscillations towards the poles. Globally, endemic-rich areas are predicted to warm less in response to greenhouse-gas emissions, but the predicted warming would cause many habitats to disappear regionally, leading to species extinctions.
Species distribution modeling (SDM) is an increasingly important tool to predict the geographic distribution of species. Even though many problems associated with this method have been highlighted and solutions have been proposed, little has been done to increase comparability among studies. We reviewed recent publications applying SDMs and found that seventy nine percent failed to report methods that ensure comparability among studies, such as disclosing the maximum probability range produced by the models and reporting on the number of species occurrences used. We modeled six species of Falco from northern Europe and demonstrate that model results are altered by (1) spatial bias in species’ occurrence data, (2) differences in the geographic extent of the environmental data, and (3) the effects of transformation of model output to presence/absence data when applying thresholds. Depending on the modeling decisions, forecasts of the future geographic distribution of Falco ranged from range contraction in 80% of the species to no net loss in any species, with the best model predicting no net loss of habitat in Northern Europe. The fact that predictions of range changes in response to climate change in published studies may be influenced by decisions in the modeling process seriously hampers the possibility of making sound management recommendations. Thus, each of the decisions made in generating SDMs should be reported and evaluated to ensure conclusions and policies are based on the biology and ecology of the species being modeled.
Fluvial processes such as flooding and sediment deposition play a crucial role in structuring riparian plant communities. In rivers throughout the world, these processes have been altered by channelization and other anthropogenic stresses. Yet despite increasing awareness of the need to restore natural flow regimes for the preservation of riparian biodiversity, few studies have examined the effects of river restoration on riparian ecosystems. In this study, we examined the effects of restoration in the Ume River system, northern Sweden, where tributaries were channelized to facilitate timber floating in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Restoration at these sites involved the use of heavy machinery to replace instream boulders and remove floatway structures that had previously lined stream banks and cut off secondary channels. We compared riparian plant communities along channelized stream reaches with those along reaches that had been restored 3–10 years prior to observation. Species richness and evenness were significantly increased at restored sites, as were floodplain inundation frequencies. These findings demonstrate how river restoration and associated changes in fluvial disturbance regimes can enhance riparian biodiversity. Given that riparian ecosystems tend to support a disproportionate share of regional species pools, these findings have potentially broad implications for biodiversity conservation at regional or landscape scales.