There are uncertainties involved in the risk assessment of process systems operations. Also, systems are complex and deteriorate gradually with time or due to exposure to expected or unexpected disturbances and events. Questions such as "what is the frequency of a process upset?" and "can we predict incidents?" have yet to be explored and answered. With the use of the Process Resilience Analysis Framework, this work presents a resilience-based approach to managing uncertainties to better predict process upsets. Prior specification on uncertain parameters is assumed based on historical data. Popular sampling and Bayesian techniques such as Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation and mixture modeling are used for posterior inference on the parameters. The application of the predictability assessment for uncertainty management is demonstrated using a polyvinyl chloride process system. A total of three types of uncertainties (cooling medium temperature, agitator failure, and reactants charging) are considered. It is concluded that with the use of resilience metrics data, the variance of statistical parameters can be updated, leading to high-probability regions of the parameter space responsible for the observed data. This helps the risk assessors make more-accurate and informed process risk decisions.
Ammonia oxide (NH3O), a zwitterionic tautomer of hydroxylamine (NH2OH), has been identified to explain the high reactivity of NH2OH. Recent evidence has shown that ammonia oxide exists in the condense phase and aqueous solution. However, neither experimental nor theoretical data of its thermochemical properties are presently available. In this work, thermochemical parameters of ammonia oxide are calculated, under standard conditions, using isodesmic reactions at several theoretical methods (HF, MP2, B3LYP, G2, G2MP2, G3, G3B3, and CBS-Q) and several basis sets (Dunning correlation-consistent and Pople-style). To monitor the computed values, the values of hydrogen peroxide are calculated by the same methods and compared with the experimental data. The quantum chemistry calculations predict the value of molar enthalpy of formation to be (55.7 ± 2.9) kJ·mol−1 and molar Gibbs energy of formation to be (103.8 ± 2.9) kJ·mol−1, for gaseous ammonia oxide at 1 atm and 298.15 K. The determined molar entropy and molar heat capacity at constant volume, also at 1 atm and 298.15 K, are (221.1 ± 0.1) J·mol−1·K−1 and (28.9 ± 0.3) J·mol−1·K−1, respectively. We have demonstrated that molecular simulation is a powerful tool to obtain thermodynamic properties of unstable compounds, such as ammonia oxide.
Violent decomposition and explosion of ammonium nitrate induced by a fire present potentially a serious threat to personnel, facilities, and nearby community. One of the most recent incidents involving ammonium nitrate occurred on 17 April 2013, in West, Texas, killing 15 people and injuring more than 250 people; this incident has caused heated discussion again on the safety issues associated with ammonium nitrate including firefighting issues. In terms of fire protection, water suppression systems have been widely used in chemical process facilities as an active protection layer, and they have been successful in tackling most of the fires. However, where water is the only agent to fight a fire in an ammonium nitrate store, acting as a cooling and hence combustion extinguishing agent, it does not limit the oxidant supply as this is contained within the ammonium nitrate molecule. Under some circumstances, the addition of water may also favor the conditions for explosion. In this article, the possible role of water interfering physically and to some extent chemically with ammonium nitrate stock in a fire is discussed, calling for more research to develop an optimal procedure to fight ammonium nitrate fertilizer fires.
The flammable vapor cloud is the primary hazard caused by a liquefied natural gas (LNG) spill on land. If it is not properly mitigated, an ignition of the vapor cloud will result in a fire or explosion hazard. High expansion foam is recommended by NFPA 11 and NFPA 471 for LNG spill hazards mitigation. This work studied the physical interaction of the LNG and expansion foam system using a foam generator and a foam test apparatus that are built in-house. The performance of the foam generator was characterized in terms of the foam expansion ratio and generation rate. The temperature profile in the foam zone quantitatively confirmed the warming effect of foam on LNG vapor. The foam breaking rate was determined at the initial stage and steady state. The boil-off effect was studied quantitatively with more details using this novel foam generator. The vapor channel formation and vapor concentration were also investigated for the mitigation effect.
The hazards of gas explosions are well documented and safety systems have been developed to mitigate these hazards. Personnel are well trained in recognizing hazardous scenarios and adopting safety systems. The problem lies in the fact that the training imparted generally recognizes that gas explosion hazards require the fuel in the vapor form and thus deal with hazardous conditions above the liquid's flash point. Most literature do not address hazards below the flash point. Are hazardous scenarios possible below the liquid's flash point? The simple answer to this question is YES. An aerosol is a suspension of solid or liquid particles in a gas. Aerosols of heavy hydrocarbons consist of liquid droplets suspended in air. Heavy hydrocarbons are widely used in the process industry as in heat exchangers, pumps, gears, etc. Process equipment inevitably fails sometime during its lifetime, and leaks are a consequence of such failure. Depending on the conditions, the bulk heavy hydrocarbon may be emitted from the leak in the form of a stream, aerosol, vapor or any combination of these.