Abstract. Coastal environments, in particular heavily populated semi-enclosed marginal seas and coasts like the Baltic Sea region, are stongly affected by human activities. A multitude of human impacts, including climate change, affects the different compartments of the environment, and these effects interact with each other. As part of the Baltic Earth Assessment Reports (BEAR), we present an inventory and discussion of different human-induced factors and processes affecting the environment of the Baltic Sea region, and their interrelations. Some are naturally occurring and modified by human activities (i.e. climate change, coastal processes, hypoxia, acidification, submarine groundwater discharges, marine ecosystems, non-indigenous species, land use and land cover), some are completely human-induced (i.e. agriculture, aquaculture, fisheries, river regulations, offshore wind farms, shipping, chemical contamination, dumped warfare agents, marine litter and microplastics, tourism, coastal management), and they are all interrelated to different degrees. We present a general description and analysis of the state of knowledge on these interrelations. Our main insight is that climate change has an overarching, integrating impact on all of the other factors and can be interpreted as a background effect, which has different implications for the other factors. Impacts on the environment and the human sphere can be roughly allocated to anthropogenic drivers such as food production, energy production, transport, industry and economy. We conclude that a sound management and regulation of human activities must be implemented in order to use and keep the environments and ecosystems of the Baltic Sea region sustainably in a good shape. This must balance the human needs, which exert tremendous pressures on the systems, as humans are the overwhelming driving force for almost all changes we see. The findings from this inventory of available information and analysis of the different factors and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region can largely be transferred to other comparable marginal and coastal seas in the world.
Understanding land use and land cover (LULC) change through time is an important aspect when attempting to interpret human-environment interactions through time. Palaeoenvironmental techniques have been crucial in bridging this gap by providing information that has been used to estimate climate change, vegetation change, sea level change etc. through time using a variety of proxies. Producing quantitative land-cover reconstructions has been an aim and a challenge with several methods attempted during the decades. In this project, we use the REVEALS model has been tested and validated in several regions of the world.We use REVEALS-based quantitative reconstructions of vegetation change to investigate the biogeochemical and biogeophysical forcings of land-cover change on climate. In the first phase of this project, LandClim I, quantitative vegetation reconstructions were produced for Europe (Mediterranean area excluded) focusing on five time windows of the Holocene between 6ka BP and present. The results from a regional climate model showed that the impact of the reconstructed LULC between 6 ka and 0.2 ka BP via biogeophysical forcing varied geographically and seasonally. We present the REVEALS quantitative pollen-based vegetation reconstruction from the ongoing second phase of the project LandClim II “Quantification of the biogeophysical and biogeochemical forcings from anthropogenic deforestation on regional Holocene climate in Europe”. This reconstruction covers entire Europe and is transient over the Holocene with a time resolution of 500 years between 11.2 and 0.7ka BP, and 100 to 300 years from 0.7ka BP to modern time. (Less)
Pollen size and pollen aperture size for ten species of the genus Carex L., native to Estonia, have been measured using light microscopy. The species selected represent different sections of the genus, a range of habitats and different chromosome numbers. The effects of two basic chemical treatments, two mounting media and the effect of chemically induced dehydration with tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) on the size of pollen grains were then recorded. In general pollen size and pollen aperture size of the species examined is highly variable at both intraspecific and interspecific levels. Carex hirta has notably larger pollen grains than any of the other species investigated and, although correlations between size and chromosome number in the species examined are limited, it also has the highest chromosome number. Statistically significant size differences resulted from variations in chemical treatment, mounting media and tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) induced dehydration. Acetolysed pollen grains are larger than potassium hydroxide (KOH) treated pollen grains. Pollen grains dehydrated after chemical treatment with TBA are larger than pollen grains not dehydrated. Pollen grains mounted in silicon oil are smaller than grains mounted in glycerine. But considering the great size variation of Carex pollen grains, the size changes caused by preparation procedures fall within the size variation range of the species examined. All the samples contained a high number of deformed pollen grains and pollen grains with hardly distinguishable or no lateral apertures.
Abstract Mires or peatlands host unique biodiversity and provide many valuable ecosystem services. Mires often undergo different development phases during their evolution. Two mire phases that have clearly divergent hydrological regimes and characteristic biotas are minerotrophic fen and ombrotrophic bog. Open mires can be overgrown by trees and develop into peatland forests. Mire development trajectories are expected to be associated with three major factors—post‐glacial isostatic uplift, autogenic succession and climate‐induced changes. Understanding long‐term mire development is important for the conservation planning of these threatened habitats. We use data from modern pollen samples to characterize differences between the pollen signal and to identify indicator pollen taxa for three mire development phases—open fens, forested fens and bogs. The modern reference samples are then used to support the interpretation of the sediment records in terms of mire development phases and related biodiversity changes in six mires within a 20 × 30 km area in western Saaremaa, Estonia. Palynological richness and phylogenetic diversity (PD) as well as Ellenberg indicator values are compared throughout the 10,000‐year history of the Saaremaa mires. Pollen of herbaceous taxa discriminates between open fens, forested fens and bogs, and indicator pollen taxa can be associated with each mire phase. In general, the fen phases of the mires show higher richness and PD than the bog phases but there is considerable variation between the sites. The mire diversity peaks are often associated with transitional periods when high local community heterogeneity allows the coexistence of high numbers of taxa from different phylogenetic lineages. Synthesis . When the initiation of mires in isostatic land uplift areas is closely related to water‐level changes and the position of the sites in relation to the sea, the development of mires and their biodiversity in the late Holocene is associated with local conditions but mediated by climate. The ongoing rapid climate change is likely to accelerate changes in existing mires, and while the transitional periods are characterized by high diversity, these periods are temporary, and the overall diversity of mires can be expected to decrease.
